Edge Tempo is the Sports Betting Edge college basketball model. It prices every game itself, then posts a play only when its number and the sportsbook's are far apart. Over the last four seasons it went 540-422 (56.1%) against the spread.
The daily card
Every Edge Tempo play is a spread bet on one team, posted around 10:05 AM ET on game days. Each pick shows:
- The pick: the team and the spread when it fired.
- Our number: what Edge Tempo thinks the spread should be.
- Edge: how far apart our number and the market are.
- Movement: whether the line has moved toward our side since the pick fired.
Hourly checks through the evening can add plays for games that get their first line late, and update each pick's Movement tag until tip-off. A pick never changes once it posts, and every pick is graded at the line when it fired.
The record
Edge Tempo made money in each of the last four seasons. Each season was tested using only information available before those games were played. At standard -110 prices, break-even is 52.4%.
| Season | Record | Win % | Profit (1 unit per pick) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 (live, so far) | 13-9 | 59.1% | +3.1 units |
| 2025-26 | 154-136 | 53.1% | +4.4 units |
| 2024-25 | 138-109 | 55.9% | +18.1 units |
| 2023-24 | 127-92 | 58.0% | +25.8 units |
| 2022-23 | 121-85 | 58.7% | +27.5 units |
Not every season is a big one. 2025-26 finished just above break-even, and we show it the same way as the good years.
Where the edge comes from
Most of Edge Tempo's winning comes from underdogs. About two of every three plays are dogs.
| Side | Record | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Underdogs | 374-275 | 57.6% |
| Favorites | 176-156 | 53.0% |
Subscribers get the full breakdown in the members guide: which spread ranges have been strongest, when a dog is worth a moneyline bet, and which plays to cut first on a big card.
How to bet it
Edge Tempo wins over a season, not on any single night. Three habits fit its record:
- Bet the same amount on every play. Bigger edges have done only slightly better, so they don't need bigger bets.
- Bet early and shop for the best line. The plays where the market moved toward us later won most often, so the card's number is usually the best you'll get.
- Expect losing stretches. Since 2022-23, 96 of 213 game days lost money, and the longest losing streak was 7 picks. The seasons still finished ahead.
The card is biggest in November and December, when team ratings and betting lines disagree most, and smaller from January on.
Get every Edge Tempo play, plus NFL and college football picks. New members get 10 free days.
Past results don't guarantee future ones. Bet only what you can afford to lose.