We log every bet.

Why ROI comes first

A 60% record at -200 loses money. A 50% record at +150 makes it. Win rate only means something next to the price, so every table here leads with return on investment. At the standard -110 price, this is what a win rate is worth:

How we grade

• Logged at the trigger. The line a pick is graded against is the one posted when the model published it. If the market moves our way afterward, that is tracked as closing line value, not counted as a win.
• Flat stakes. One unit per pick. Spreads and totals are graded at -110. Baseball and golf are graded at the real price that was available.
• Pushes count for nothing. They are shown in the record and excluded from win rate and ROI.
• No combined house record. The models do different jobs at different risk. Each stands on its own.
• Want the why? Our Models explains what each one measures and where its trigger is set.