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Buffalo Bulls at Ball State Cardinals

College football · Week 11 · Wed Nov 11 · 7:30 PM ET

Buffalo Bulls
7-3 · AWAY · 28
Ball State Cardinals
3-7 · HOME · 7

Final: Buffalo Bulls 28, Ball State Cardinals 7

Closing spread Ball State Cardinals +1.5: Buffalo Bulls covered.
Closing total 53.5: stayed under.
Edge Power's play: Buffalo Bulls -1.5 · WIN

The quick read

Buffalo Bulls (7-3) visit Ball State Cardinals (3-7). By expected points per play, Buffalo Bulls have the 112th-ranked offense and the 58th-ranked defense; Ball State Cardinals are 88th on offense and 125th on defense. When Buffalo Bulls have the ball, a 112th-ranked offense meets a 125th-ranked defense; when Ball State Cardinals have it, a 88th-ranked offense meets a 58th-ranked defense.

Buffalo Bulls score 24.3 points a game and allow 24.1. Ball State Cardinals score 21.3 points a game and allow 34.1.

Buffalo Bulls are 1.5-point favorites. The line opened at Buffalo Bulls -2.5 and has moved 1 toward Ball State Cardinals. The total is 53.5, up from 49.5 at the open.

The market

Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.

SPREAD (BALL STATE CARDINALS)
Open +2.5 → Close +1.5
Best Buffalo Bulls: +1 (-112) BetMGM
Best Ball State Cardinals: +1.5 (-120) FanDuel
Typical juice: 4.55% hold across 6 books
TOTAL
Open 49.5 → Close 53.5
Best over: 53 (-110) BetOnline
Best under: 53.5 (-109) Caesars
MEMBERS · EDGE POWER'S NUMBER
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Offense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Buffalo BullsBall State Cardinals
Points per game24.321.3
Yards per game345.7337.5
Yards per rush4.34.5
Yards per pass attempt5.46
Third-down conversion38.9%34.6%
Expected points per play+0.044112th+0.08988th
Success rate36.5%128th39.5%110th
Rush points per play+0.09573rd+0.06086th
Pass points per play+0.030122nd+0.17681st
Line yards2.9197th3.1545th

Defense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Buffalo BullsBall State Cardinals
Points allowed per game24.134.1
Yards allowed per game369.5418.8
Yards per rush allowed4.45
Third-down conversion allowed34.7%42.5%
Expected points per play allowed+0.07658th+0.230125th
Success rate allowed39.6%48th43%88th
Rush points per play allowed+0.04060th+0.176119th
Pass points per play allowed+0.16163rd+0.344123rd
Havoc rate16.3%53rd14.5%96th

Recent games

Buffalo Bulls
vs MassachusettsW 25-18
vs Bowling GreenW 31-24
@ Miami (OH)W 34-31
@ Ball StateW 28-7
Ball State Cardinals
@ Bowling GreenW 32-31
vs Sacramento StateW 34-17
@ MassachusettsL 30-31
vs BuffaloL 7-28

Against the spread this season

Buffalo Bulls: 6-2 against the spread, 3-3 on overs and unders.
Ball State Cardinals: 4-4 against the spread, 4-2 on overs and unders.
EVERY TEAM AGAINST THE SPREAD →
All College football odds →No-vig calculator →Spread to moneyline →Our record →

Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.