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UMass Minutemen at Toledo Rockets

College football · Week 11 · Wed Nov 11 · 7:30 PM ET

UMass Minutemen
5-5 · AWAY · 0
Toledo Rockets
8-2 · HOME · 24

Final: UMass Minutemen 0, Toledo Rockets 24

Closing spread Toledo Rockets -14: Toledo Rockets covered.
Closing total 52.5: stayed under.

The quick read

UMass Minutemen (5-5) visit Toledo Rockets (8-2). By expected points per play, UMass Minutemen have the 75th-ranked offense and the 45th-ranked defense; Toledo Rockets are 34th on offense and 8th on defense. When UMass Minutemen have the ball, a 75th-ranked offense meets a 8th-ranked defense; when Toledo Rockets have it, a 34th-ranked offense meets a 45th-ranked defense.

UMass Minutemen score 24.3 points a game and allow 22.3. Toledo Rockets score 34.3 points a game and allow 22.0.

Toledo Rockets are 14-point favorites. The line opened at Toledo Rockets -16.5 and has moved 2.5 toward UMass Minutemen. The total is 52.5.

The market

Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.

SPREAD (TOLEDO ROCKETS)
Open -16.5 → Close -14
Best UMass Minutemen: +14.5 (-115) FanDuel
Best Toledo Rockets: -14 (-110) BetMGM
Typical juice: 4.73% hold across 6 books
TOTAL
Open 52.5 → Close 52.5
Best over: 51.5 (-115) DraftKings
Best under: 52.5 (-112) BetMGM
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Offense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

UMass MinutemenToledo Rockets
Points per game24.334.3
Yards per game332453.4
Yards per rush4.25
Yards per pass attempt7.38.4
Third-down conversion31.4%43.3%
Expected points per play+0.11775th+0.20334th
Success rate41.5%84th43%61st
Rush points per play+0.11458th+0.09970th
Pass points per play+0.17582nd+0.31938th
Line yards3.0081st3.2729th

Defense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

UMass MinutemenToledo Rockets
Points allowed per game22.322
Yards allowed per game338.2301.7
Yards per rush allowed4.13.2
Third-down conversion allowed38%32.7%
Expected points per play allowed+0.04545th-0.0578th
Success rate allowed38.7%35th33.3%4th
Rush points per play allowed+0.07874th-0.05725th
Pass points per play allowed+0.06629th+0.01216th
Havoc rate14.8%91st18.1%30th

Recent games

UMass Minutemen
@ BuffaloL 18-25
@ UConnL 16-35
vs Ball StateW 31-30
@ ToledoL 0-24
Toledo Rockets
@ Eastern MichiganW 34-14
vs Western MichiganW 45-38
@ Sacramento StateW 20-17
vs MassachusettsW 24-0

Against the spread this season

UMass Minutemen: 1-5 against the spread, 3-3 on overs and unders.
Toledo Rockets: 4-3 against the spread, 3-3 on overs and unders.
EVERY TEAM AGAINST THE SPREAD →
All College football odds →No-vig calculator →Spread to moneyline →Our record →

Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.