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Memphis Tigers at South Florida Bulls

College football · Week 11 · Thu Nov 12 · 8:00 PM ET

Memphis Tigers
8-2 · AWAY · 52
South Florida Bulls
6-4 · HOME · 41

Final: Memphis Tigers 52, South Florida Bulls 41

Closing spread South Florida Bulls +4.5: Memphis Tigers covered.
Closing total 50.5: went over.

The quick read

Memphis Tigers (8-2) visit South Florida Bulls (6-4). By expected points per play, Memphis Tigers have the 18th-ranked offense and the 71st-ranked defense; South Florida Bulls are 80th on offense and 52nd on defense. When Memphis Tigers have the ball, a 18th-ranked offense meets a 52nd-ranked defense; when South Florida Bulls have it, a 80th-ranked offense meets a 71st-ranked defense.

Memphis Tigers score 39.0 points a game and allow 25.3. South Florida Bulls score 27.4 points a game and allow 18.8.

Memphis Tigers are 4.5-point favorites. The line opened at Memphis Tigers -7.5 and has moved 3 toward South Florida Bulls. The total is 50.5, up from 48.5 at the open.

The market

Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.

SPREAD (SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS)
Open +7.5 → Close +4.5
Best Memphis Tigers: -3.5 (-120) FanDuel
Best South Florida Bulls: +5 (-110) BetOnline
Typical juice: 4.75% hold across 6 books
TOTAL
Open 48.5 → Close 50.5
Best over: 50.5 (-110) FanDuel
Best under: 51.5 (-114) BetOnline
MEMBERS · EDGE POWER'S NUMBER
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Offense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Memphis TigersSouth Florida Bulls
Points per game3927.4
Yards per game520.7339.8
Yards per rush5.64.4
Yards per pass attempt9.77
Third-down conversion46.4%36.1%
Expected points per play+0.26018th+0.11280th
Success rate49.9%13th45%41st
Rush points per play+0.17233rd+0.12850th
Pass points per play+0.4648th+0.102108th
Line yards3.515th2.9099th

Defense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Memphis TigersSouth Florida Bulls
Points allowed per game25.318.8
Yards allowed per game394.5339.5
Yards per rush allowed54
Third-down conversion allowed30.7%36.6%
Expected points per play allowed+0.09871st+0.06852nd
Success rate allowed38.6%34th41.2%67th
Rush points per play allowed+0.181121st-0.01640th
Pass points per play allowed+0.03420th+0.16365th
Havoc rate17%46th17.1%44th

Recent games

Memphis Tigers
@ TulaneL 17-31
vs East CarolinaW 41-34
vs ArmyW 49-22
@ South FloridaW 52-41
South Florida Bulls
vs Kent StateW 29-2
vs UABW 30-10
@ East CarolinaL 17-20
vs MemphisL 41-52

Against the spread this season

Memphis Tigers: 4-3 against the spread, 4-2 on overs and unders.
South Florida Bulls: 3-5 against the spread, 2-5 on overs and unders.
EVERY TEAM AGAINST THE SPREAD →
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Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.