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Florida Gators at Kentucky Wildcats

College football · Week 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET

Florida Gators
5-4 · AWAY
Kentucky Wildcats
7-2 · HOME

The quick read

Florida Gators (5-4) visit Kentucky Wildcats (7-2). By expected points per play, Florida Gators have the 39th-ranked offense and the 80th-ranked defense; Kentucky Wildcats are 51st on offense and 63rd on defense. When Florida Gators have the ball, a 39th-ranked offense meets a 63rd-ranked defense; when Kentucky Wildcats have it, a 51st-ranked offense meets a 80th-ranked defense.

Florida Gators score 32.4 points a game and allow 27.6. Kentucky Wildcats score 29.9 points a game and allow 25.8.

Kentucky Wildcats are 3-point favorites. The line opened at Kentucky Wildcats -1.5 and has moved 1.5 toward Kentucky Wildcats. The total is 52.5, down from 55.5 at the open.

The market

Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.

SPREAD (KENTUCKY WILDCATS)
Open -1.5 → Now -3
Best Florida Gators: +3.5 (-125) FanDuel
Best Kentucky Wildcats: -3 (+100) BetOnline
Typical juice: 4.64% hold across 6 books
TOTAL
Open 55.5 → Now 52.5
Best over: 52.5 (-112) DraftKings
Best under: 53.5 (-112) BetMGM
Kickoff forecast: 40°F, wind 5 mph, 0% chance of rain or snow
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Offense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Florida GatorsKentucky Wildcats
Points per game32.429.9
Yards per game401.2383.6
Yards per rush4.44.7
Yards per pass attempt7.97.4
Third-down conversion42%34.9%
Expected points per play+0.19339th+0.17651st
Success rate44.1%52nd48%22nd
Rush points per play+0.09375th+0.16337th
Pass points per play+0.31342nd+0.19975th
Line yards2.68121st3.2432nd

Defense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Florida GatorsKentucky Wildcats
Points allowed per game27.625.8
Yards allowed per game366.6365.6
Yards per rush allowed43.9
Third-down conversion allowed45.2%47.7%
Expected points per play allowed+0.11280th+0.08563rd
Success rate allowed44.6%116th44.8%118th
Rush points per play allowed+0.03858th+0.08581st
Pass points per play allowed+0.255104th+0.14659th
Havoc rate18%31st18.3%27th

Recent games

Florida Gators
vs South CarolinaL 19-38
@ TexasW 27-24
@ GeorgiaL 8-27
vs OklahomaL 7-23
Kentucky Wildcats
vs LSUW 35-34
@ OklahomaW 21-13
vs VanderbiltW 34-17
@ TennesseeL 6-34

Against the spread this season

Florida Gators: 3-4 against the spread, 2-4 on overs and unders.
Kentucky Wildcats: 6-2 against the spread, 3-3 on overs and unders.
EVERY TEAM AGAINST THE SPREAD →

Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.