Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar Heels
College football · Week 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 7:00 PM ET
The quick read
Louisville Cardinals (6-3) visit North Carolina Tar Heels (5-4). By expected points per play, Louisville Cardinals have the 6th-ranked offense and the 56th-ranked defense; North Carolina Tar Heels are 55th on offense and 48th on defense. When Louisville Cardinals have the ball, a 6th-ranked offense meets a 48th-ranked defense; when North Carolina Tar Heels have it, a 55th-ranked offense meets a 56th-ranked defense.
Louisville Cardinals score 40.8 points a game and allow 25.9. North Carolina Tar Heels score 27.1 points a game and allow 22.8.
Louisville Cardinals are 3.5-point favorites. The line opened at Louisville Cardinals -2.5 and has moved 1 toward Louisville Cardinals. The total is 57.5, down from 59.5 at the open.
The market
Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.
Offense
Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.
| Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 40.8 | 27.1 |
| Yards per game | 488.1 | 352.9 |
| Yards per rush | 6.3 | 3.8 |
| Yards per pass attempt | 9.7 | 7.7 |
| Third-down conversion | 44.4% | 45.9% |
| Expected points per play | +0.3486th | +0.16155th |
| Success rate | 50.8%8th | 47.2%27th |
| Rush points per play | +0.2763rd | +0.04796th |
| Pass points per play | +0.44211th | +0.29047th |
| Line yards | 3.0079th | 3.0954th |
Defense
Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.
| Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | |
|---|---|---|
| Points allowed per game | 25.9 | 22.8 |
| Yards allowed per game | 404.4 | 377 |
| Yards per rush allowed | 3.7 | 4 |
| Third-down conversion allowed | 31.1% | 44.1% |
| Expected points per play allowed | +0.07356th | +0.05248th |
| Success rate allowed | 40.3%58th | 44.1%113th |
| Rush points per play allowed | -0.03035th | +0.06369th |
| Pass points per play allowed | +0.253103rd | +0.09737th |
| Havoc rate | 15.3%78th | 12.3%127th |
Recent games
Against the spread this season
Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.