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Michigan Wolverines at Oregon Ducks

College football · Week 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 3:30 PM ET

Michigan Wolverines
5-4 · AWAY
Oregon Ducks
6-3 · HOME

The quick read

Michigan Wolverines (5-4) visit Oregon Ducks (6-3). By expected points per play, Michigan Wolverines have the 107th-ranked offense and the 5th-ranked defense; Oregon Ducks are 76th on offense and 41st on defense. When Michigan Wolverines have the ball, a 107th-ranked offense meets a 41st-ranked defense; when Oregon Ducks have it, a 76th-ranked offense meets a 5th-ranked defense.

Michigan Wolverines score 19.6 points a game and allow 16.2. Oregon Ducks score 34.1 points a game and allow 22.1.

Oregon Ducks are 10.5-point favorites. The line opened at Oregon Ducks -5.5 and has moved 5 toward Oregon Ducks. The total is 38.5, down from 44.5 at the open.

The market

Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.

SPREAD (OREGON DUCKS)
Open -5.5 → Now -10.5
Best Michigan Wolverines: +10.5 (-108) BetMGM
Best Oregon Ducks: -10.5 (-108) Bovada
Typical juice: 4.75% hold across 6 books
TOTAL
Open 44.5 → Now 38.5
Best over: 38.5 (-107) Caesars
Best under: 38.5 (-107) BetOnline
Kickoff forecast: 55°F, wind 11 mph, 4% chance of rain or snow
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Offense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Michigan WolverinesOregon Ducks
Points per game19.634.1
Yards per game302.6420.4
Yards per rush3.64.1
Yards per pass attempt7.17.8
Third-down conversion41.9%37.8%
Expected points per play+0.059107th+0.11776th
Success rate40.3%99th40.3%96th
Rush points per play+0.031102nd-0.041124th
Pass points per play+0.13994th+0.26052nd
Line yards2.9294th2.46132nd

Defense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Michigan WolverinesOregon Ducks
Points allowed per game16.222.1
Yards allowed per game255.3349.7
Yards per rush allowed33.7
Third-down conversion allowed33.9%32.6%
Expected points per play allowed-0.0755th+0.03641st
Success rate allowed33.9%7th37.8%25th
Rush points per play allowed-0.1069th+0.02452nd
Pass points per play allowed-0.0278th+0.08134th
Havoc rate16.2%57th16.5%50th

Recent games

Michigan Wolverines
vs Penn StateW 21-18
vs IndianaL 6-13
@ RutgersW 28-21
vs Michigan StateL 6-15
Oregon Ducks
vs NebraskaW 17-14
@ IllinoisL 10-21
vs NorthwesternW 34-26
@ Ohio StateW 41-28

Against the spread this season

Michigan Wolverines: 2-6-1 against the spread, 1-5 on overs and unders.
Oregon Ducks: 3-4 against the spread, 3-3 on overs and unders.
EVERY TEAM AGAINST THE SPREAD →
All College football odds →No-vig calculator →Spread to moneyline →Our record →

Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.