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Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU Mustangs

College football · Week 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 12:00 PM ET

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
8-1 · AWAY
SMU Mustangs
7-2 · HOME

The quick read

Wake Forest Demon Deacons (8-1) visit SMU Mustangs (7-2). By expected points per play, Wake Forest Demon Deacons have the 2nd-ranked offense and the 33rd-ranked defense; SMU Mustangs are 15th on offense and 75th on defense. When Wake Forest Demon Deacons have the ball, a 2nd-ranked offense meets a 75th-ranked defense; when SMU Mustangs have it, a 15th-ranked offense meets a 33rd-ranked defense.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons score 43.3 points a game and allow 15.9. SMU Mustangs score 37.0 points a game and allow 22.9.

SMU Mustangs are 1.5-point favorites. The line opened at Wake Forest Demon Deacons -3.5 and has moved 5 toward SMU Mustangs. The total is 60.5, up from 55.5 at the open.

The market

Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.

SPREAD (SMU MUSTANGS)
Open +3.5 → Now -1.5
Best Wake Forest Demon Deacons: +1.5 (-110) DraftKings
Best SMU Mustangs: -1 (-110) BetMGM
Typical juice: 4.75% hold across 6 books
TOTAL
Open 55.5 → Now 60.5
Best over: 60 (-115) BetOnline
Best under: 60.5 (-105) Caesars
Kickoff forecast: 57°F, wind 12 mph, 1% chance of rain or snow
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Offense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Wake Forest Demon DeaconsSMU Mustangs
Points per game43.337
Yards per game487.7478.6
Yards per rush4.94.4
Yards per pass attempt10.49.7
Third-down conversion51.4%47.7%
Expected points per play+0.3942nd+0.26715th
Success rate51.8%4th50%12th
Rush points per play+0.3052nd+0.10564th
Pass points per play+0.5073rd+0.4896th
Line yards3.4310th3.0083rd

Defense

Ranks out of 138. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Wake Forest Demon DeaconsSMU Mustangs
Points allowed per game15.922.9
Yards allowed per game310319.8
Yards per rush allowed2.73.9
Third-down conversion allowed35.6%29.9%
Expected points per play allowed+0.02033rd+0.10475th
Success rate allowed38%30th39.2%43rd
Rush points per play allowed-0.07020th+0.12491st
Pass points per play allowed+0.10440th+0.10942nd
Havoc rate15.3%79th17.4%40th

Recent games

Wake Forest Demon Deacons
@ NC StateW 38-14
@ CaliforniaW 41-7
vs VirginiaW 51-7
vs MerrimackW 77-0
SMU Mustangs
vs VirginiaW 23-13
vs CaliforniaW 59-20
@ SyracuseL 27-30
vs Virginia TechW 51-28

Against the spread this season

Wake Forest Demon Deacons: 6-1 against the spread, 2-3 on overs and unders.
SMU Mustangs: 2-4-2 against the spread, 2-4 on overs and unders.
EVERY TEAM AGAINST THE SPREAD →
All College football odds →No-vig calculator →Spread to moneyline →Our record →

Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.