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Buffalo Bills at Minnesota Vikings

NFL · Week 9 · Mon Nov 9 · 8:15 PM ET · U.S. Bank Stadium

Buffalo Bills
7-1 · AWAY · 23
QB Josh Allen
Minnesota Vikings
6-2 · HOME · 6
QB Carson Wentz

Final: Buffalo Bills 23, Minnesota Vikings 6

Closing spread Minnesota Vikings +3: Buffalo Bills covered.
Closing total 45.5: stayed under.

The quick read

Buffalo Bills (7-1) visit Minnesota Vikings (6-2). By points added per play, Buffalo Bills have the 4th-ranked offense and the 10th-ranked defense; Minnesota Vikings are 31st on offense and 2nd on defense. When Buffalo Bills have the ball, a 4th-ranked offense meets a 2nd-ranked defense; when Minnesota Vikings have it, a 31st-ranked offense meets a 10th-ranked defense.

Buffalo Bills score 32.0 points a game and allow 23.4. Minnesota Vikings score 18.2 points a game and allow 14.5.

Buffalo Bills are 3.5-point favorites. The line opened at Buffalo Bills -2.5 and has moved 1 toward Buffalo Bills.

Expected quarterbacks: Josh Allen for Buffalo Bills, Carson Wentz for Minnesota Vikings.

The market

Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.

SPREAD (MINNESOTA VIKINGS)
Open +2.5 → Close +3.5
Best Buffalo Bills: -3 (-120) FanDuel
Best Minnesota Vikings: +3.5 (-115) DraftKings
Typical juice: 4.55% hold across 11 books
TOTAL
Not posted
MEMBERS · EDGE POWER'S NUMBER
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Offense

Ranks out of 32. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Buffalo BillsMinnesota Vikings
Points per game3218.2
Yards per play6.24.8
Points added per play (EPA)+0.1484th-0.18031st
Success rate47.5%6th35.8%30th
Pass EPA per play+0.1956th-0.15628th
Rush EPA per play+0.0864th-0.19229th
Explosive play rate11.8%1st7.7%19th
Sack rate6.2%18th8.8%27th
Turnover rate2.4%24th1.9%16th
Red-zone points per trip5.742nd3.8132nd

Defense

Ranks out of 32. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Buffalo BillsMinnesota Vikings
Points allowed per game23.414.5
Yards per play allowed5.34.7
EPA per play allowed-0.06310th-0.1632nd
Success rate allowed43%14th37.4%1st
Pass EPA allowed-0.03412th-0.2471st
Rush EPA allowed-0.1354th-0.09111th
Explosive plays allowed7.6%12th6.8%8th
Sack rate5.6%20th10.6%1st
Takeaway rate2.7%4th2.6%5th
Red-zone points allowed per trip4.8213th3.811st

Recent games

Buffalo Bills
@ Los Angeles RamsW 37-34
@ Las Vegas RaidersW 33-30
vs Baltimore RavensW 36-10
@ Minnesota VikingsW 23-6
Minnesota Vikings
@ New Orleans SaintsW 23-13
vs Indianapolis ColtsW 16-10
@ Detroit LionsL 15-19
vs Buffalo BillsL 6-23

Against the spread this season

Buffalo Bills: 6-2 against the spread, 5-3 on overs and unders.
Minnesota Vikings: 4-4 against the spread, 1-7 on overs and unders.
EVERY TEAM AGAINST THE SPREAD →

Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.