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Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons

NFL · Week 10 · Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET · Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Kansas City Chiefs
6-2 · AWAY
QB Patrick Mahomes
Atlanta Falcons
3-6 · HOME
QB Michael Penix Jr.

The quick read

Kansas City Chiefs (6-2) visit Atlanta Falcons (3-6). By points added per play, Kansas City Chiefs have the 5th-ranked offense and the 7th-ranked defense; Atlanta Falcons are 24th on offense and 17th on defense. When Kansas City Chiefs have the ball, a 5th-ranked offense meets a 17th-ranked defense; when Atlanta Falcons have it, a 24th-ranked offense meets a 7th-ranked defense.

Kansas City Chiefs score 25.2 points a game and allow 17.9. Atlanta Falcons score 20.9 points a game and allow 24.8.

Kansas City Chiefs are 3-point favorites.

Expected quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes for Kansas City Chiefs, Michael Penix Jr. for Atlanta Falcons.

The market

Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.

SPREAD (ATLANTA FALCONS)
Open +3 → Now +3
Best Kansas City Chiefs: -3 (-110) LowVig
Best Atlanta Falcons: +3.5 (-120) FanDuel
Typical juice: 4.71% hold across 11 books
TOTAL
Not posted
Indoors: weather is not a factor.
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Offense

Ranks out of 32. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Kansas City ChiefsAtlanta Falcons
Points per game25.220.9
Yards per play6.45.6
Points added per play (EPA)+0.1215th-0.07524th
Success rate48.5%4th43.2%13th
Pass EPA per play+0.1479th-0.14727th
Rush EPA per play+0.0912nd-0.02312th
Explosive play rate8.9%7th7.8%18th
Sack rate3.6%4th5.3%11th
Turnover rate1.3%7th2.8%29th
Red-zone points per trip5.0214th4.6522nd

Defense

Ranks out of 32. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Kansas City ChiefsAtlanta Falcons
Points allowed per game17.924.8
Yards per play allowed4.95.5
EPA per play allowed-0.0807th+0.00517th
Success rate allowed39.9%4th44.7%25th
Pass EPA allowed-0.02813th-0.0996th
Rush EPA allowed-0.1186th-0.09510th
Explosive plays allowed5.4%3rd8.8%25th
Sack rate4.7%30th7.4%8th
Takeaway rate2.1%12th1.7%20th
Red-zone points allowed per trip3.943rd5.3322nd

Recent games

Kansas City Chiefs
vs Los Angeles ChargersW 22-6
@ Seattle SeahawksL 3-20
@ Denver BroncosL 24-28
vs New York JetsW 35-12
Atlanta Falcons
vs Chicago BearsL 23-31
vs San Francisco 49ersW 29-20
@ Tampa Bay BuccaneersL 0-16
vs Cincinnati BengalsL 17-34

Against the spread this season

Kansas City Chiefs: 4-4 against the spread, 3-5 on overs and unders.
Atlanta Falcons: 3-6 against the spread, 4-5 on overs and unders.
EVERY TEAM AGAINST THE SPREAD →

Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.