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Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts

NFL · Week 10 · Sun Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET · Lucas Oil Stadium

Miami Dolphins
1-7 · AWAY
QB Malik Willis
Indianapolis Colts
2-7 · HOME
QB Daniel Jones

The quick read

Miami Dolphins (1-7) visit Indianapolis Colts (2-7). By points added per play, Miami Dolphins have the 25th-ranked offense and the 32nd-ranked defense; Indianapolis Colts are 29th on offense and 25th on defense. When Miami Dolphins have the ball, a 25th-ranked offense meets a 25th-ranked defense; when Indianapolis Colts have it, a 29th-ranked offense meets a 32nd-ranked defense.

Miami Dolphins score 15.8 points a game and allow 25.0. Indianapolis Colts score 20.4 points a game and allow 27.7.

Indianapolis Colts are 4-point favorites. The line opened at Indianapolis Colts -2.5 and has moved 1.5 toward Indianapolis Colts.

Expected quarterbacks: Malik Willis for Miami Dolphins, Daniel Jones for Indianapolis Colts.

The market

Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.

SPREAD (INDIANAPOLIS COLTS)
Open -2.5 → Now -4
Best Miami Dolphins: +5.5 (-112) BetRivers
Best Indianapolis Colts: -3.5 (-115) FanDuel
Typical juice: 4.75% hold across 11 books
TOTAL
Not posted
Indoors: weather is not a factor.
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Offense

Ranks out of 32. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Miami DolphinsIndianapolis Colts
Points per game15.820.4
Yards per play5.14.5
Points added per play (EPA)-0.07725th-0.13329th
Success rate38.3%29th42.3%19th
Pass EPA per play-0.10925th-0.23030th
Rush EPA per play-0.04314th-0.00510th
Explosive play rate7.9%16th6.4%28th
Sack rate9.6%30th7.4%22nd
Turnover rate2.3%22nd3%30th
Red-zone points per trip4.7719th4.7321st

Defense

Ranks out of 32. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

Miami DolphinsIndianapolis Colts
Points allowed per game2527.7
Yards per play allowed5.86.2
EPA per play allowed+0.13232nd+0.06225th
Success rate allowed49.3%32nd42.8%13th
Pass EPA allowed+0.30532nd+0.07320th
Rush EPA allowed-0.03821st+0.05832nd
Explosive plays allowed8%16th9.5%30th
Sack rate4.6%31st6.7%13th
Takeaway rate1.5%23rd1.1%31st
Red-zone points allowed per trip4.8614th5.4423rd

Recent games

Miami Dolphins
vs Cincinnati BengalsL 24-31
@ New York JetsW 28-25
vs New England PatriotsL 19-24
vs Detroit LionsL 9-19
Indianapolis Colts
vs Tennessee TitansL 20-26
@ Minnesota VikingsL 10-16
@ Jacksonville JaguarsL 7-42
vs Dallas CowboysL 23-27

Against the spread this season

Miami Dolphins: 3-4-1 against the spread, 4-4 on overs and unders.
Indianapolis Colts: 5-4 against the spread, 5-4 on overs and unders.
EVERY TEAM AGAINST THE SPREAD →

Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.