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New England Patriots at Detroit Lions

NFL · Week 10 · Sun Nov 15 · 9:30 AM ET · FC Bayern Munich Stadium

New England Patriots
5-4 · AWAY
QB Drake Maye
Detroit Lions
6-2 · HOME
QB Jared Goff

The quick read

New England Patriots (5-4) visit Detroit Lions (6-2). By points added per play, New England Patriots have the 9th-ranked offense and the 23rd-ranked defense; Detroit Lions are 6th on offense and 26th on defense. When New England Patriots have the ball, a 9th-ranked offense meets a 26th-ranked defense; when Detroit Lions have it, a 6th-ranked offense meets a 23rd-ranked defense.

New England Patriots score 23.4 points a game and allow 23.0. Detroit Lions score 27.8 points a game and allow 23.6.

Detroit Lions are 2.5-point favorites. The line opened at New England Patriots -1.5 and has moved 4 toward Detroit Lions.

Expected quarterbacks: Drake Maye for New England Patriots, Jared Goff for Detroit Lions.

The market

Open is the first line we captured. Now updates every hour until kickoff.

SPREAD (DETROIT LIONS)
Open +1.5 → Now -2.5
Best New England Patriots: +3 (-120) MyBookie
Best Detroit Lions: -2.5 (-118) DraftKings
Typical juice: 4.55% hold across 11 books
TOTAL
Not posted
Indoors: weather is not a factor.
MEMBERS · EDGE POWER'S NUMBER
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Offense

Ranks out of 32. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

New England PatriotsDetroit Lions
Points per game23.427.8
Yards per play6.15.9
Points added per play (EPA)+0.0409th+0.1036th
Success rate45.4%10th48.8%3rd
Pass EPA per play+0.10411th+0.2094th
Rush EPA per play-0.02613th-0.05920th
Explosive play rate10%3rd8.1%13th
Sack rate6.3%19th6.9%20th
Turnover rate3.4%31st1%2nd
Red-zone points per trip4.6323rd5.369th

Defense

Ranks out of 32. 1st is best, on offense and on defense.

New England PatriotsDetroit Lions
Points allowed per game2323.6
Yards per play allowed5.55.5
EPA per play allowed+0.04523rd+0.06826th
Success rate allowed43.7%20th43.5%18th
Pass EPA allowed+0.16526th+0.14625th
Rush EPA allowed-0.1007th-0.0989th
Explosive plays allowed8.7%21st9.7%31st
Sack rate7.6%6th7.6%5th
Takeaway rate1.5%27th1.5%24th
Red-zone points allowed per trip4.5810th5.2319th

Recent games

New England Patriots
vs New York JetsW 26-19
@ Chicago BearsL 24-30
@ Miami DolphinsW 24-19
vs Green Bay PackersL 27-45
Detroit Lions
@ Arizona CardinalsW 45-21
vs Green Bay PackersW 20-17
vs Minnesota VikingsW 19-15
@ Miami DolphinsW 19-9

Against the spread this season

New England Patriots: 3-5-1 against the spread, 6-3 on overs and unders.
Detroit Lions: 3-4-1 against the spread, 5-3 on overs and unders.
EVERY TEAM AGAINST THE SPREAD →

Stats are season to date. Odds change constantly and vary by state. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.